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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+0.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02-1.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.35vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.39-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.96University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.42Yale University2.670.2%1st Place
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2.95Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 34.3% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 15.3% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 22.8% | 21.4% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.6% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 12.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 30.3% | 58.7% |
| David Rodriguez | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 46.0% | 37.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 39.7% | 14.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.