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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-1.15+2.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.52-0.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27-1.34vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-2.57-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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1.51Tufts University1.520.5%1st Place
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1.66Tufts University1.270.4%1st Place
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3.79University of New Hampshire-2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Goodell | 3.2% | 7.7% | 70.6% | 18.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 53.8% | 41.2% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Evan Robison | 42.8% | 49.6% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Kendolyn Roe | 0.2% | 1.5% | 17.9% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.