← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.52+0.50vs Predicted
-
2Bates College-1.15+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.27-1.32vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-2.57-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.5Tufts University1.520.6%1st Place
-
3.04Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
-
1.68Tufts University1.270.4%1st Place
-
3.79University of New Hampshire-2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Lenz | 55.3% | 39.9% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Carter Goodell | 4.2% | 6.2% | 71.2% | 18.4% |
| Evan Robison | 40.3% | 51.9% | 7.5% | 0.3% |
| Kendolyn Roe | 0.2% | 2.0% | 16.7% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.