← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.53+6.88vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.87vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.24+6.06vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.93+5.99vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.24+3.73vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.24-0.93vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.56+0.54vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.71-1.16vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.96vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.60-2.34vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University3.16-1.72vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.20vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University1.95+0.62vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.73-3.40vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.70-3.98vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.46vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.38vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University2.43-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.88Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.06Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.99Boston College2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.73Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
5.07Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.54Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
6.84Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.66Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.28Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
13.62Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
-
10.6University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
-
11.02University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
14.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
11.62SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
-
11.91Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Colin Brego | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Miller | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mark Davies | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 23.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 33.6% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.