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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+5.49vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.01vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+5.29vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+1.36vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+0.06vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.65vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.95+4.30vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.68vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.53-3.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.56vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-4.44vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-2.36vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-6.28vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.73-5.51vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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4.91Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.65SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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13.3Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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13.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.64Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.72Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.49University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Mark Davies | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 26.4% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 29.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Sterling Henken | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.