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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+4.47vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.21vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.13vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+1.96vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+2.33vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43+4.19vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73+2.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-1.86vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.67vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-0.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.04vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.56-5.99vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.16-5.61vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.21Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.19Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.01University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.01Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.7SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 16.5% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Charles Miller | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 15.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 40.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 9.5% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.