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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+5.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.78vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+3.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+3.21vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+2.07vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+3.81vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97-0.86vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-0.60vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-3.79vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.14-4.14vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.24+1.49vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-3.25vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-3.55vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.95-7.66vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-6.34vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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9.07Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.81University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.4Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.21Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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14.49Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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11.45University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.34Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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15.36SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 8.0% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Pierce | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Colin Richards | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 6.3% |
| Christian Filter | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 29.3% |
| Jesse McKnight | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 19.8% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.