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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+5.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+4.60vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+4.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+3.00vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+3.29vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.95+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.05+4.20vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+0.40vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.14-1.75vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.55vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.61vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.16vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.24+0.82vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-7.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-5.52vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.16-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.29Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.93Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.4Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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13.82Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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14.63SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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10.87University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Conner Harding | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Filter | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Colin Richards | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 6.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Long | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 21.6% | 29.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 18.6% | 44.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Jesse McKnight | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.