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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.08vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.59vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+4.76vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+2.84vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+3.31vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+1.05vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.57vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-0.43vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.04vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-2.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-0.57vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.14-4.95vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.61vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-5.28vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-4.26vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.24-2.15vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.05-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.31Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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14.61SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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10.74University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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13.85Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Conner Harding | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Christian Filter | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jesse McKnight | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 19.5% | 44.8% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 22.5% | 28.0% |
| Colin Richards | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.