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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.97+6.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+2.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+1.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28+4.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14+0.04vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77+0.35vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-1.19vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16-0.12vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.59vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-5.24vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.95-7.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.05-4.73vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.24-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.35Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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14.59SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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7.74Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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13.82Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Filter | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Conner Harding | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jesse McKnight | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 45.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Pierce | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 6.1% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 22.8% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.