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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+5.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+4.74vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+6.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.19+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+5.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14+0.20vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-0.12vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.95-2.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-0.47vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-3.49vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-5.08vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-2.59vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.97-7.16vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.24-2.16vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.06University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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7.67Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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8.51Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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13.84Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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14.69SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Trevor Long | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jesse McKnight | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Colin Richards | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| Christian Filter | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 20.8% | 28.7% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 19.0% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.