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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.95+6.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.55vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+7.58vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+3.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+2.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.28vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.190.00vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28+1.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.35vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-3.36vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-2.09vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-6.50vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.90vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.23-9.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.43Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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14.1SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Long | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Jesse McKnight | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Lucas Pierce | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Colin Richards | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 10.2% |
| Christian Filter | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 57.5% |
| Conner Harding | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.