← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.97+6.48vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.12vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.12+4.08vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.23+2.84vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.19+1.88vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.25+0.70vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.95+0.79vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.97-0.49vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.68vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28+0.28vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University2.77-2.62vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.14-4.93vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-4.54vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.16-3.51vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.05-3.91vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.48Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.08Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.84Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.88Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
6.7Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.79Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
-
7.51Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
-
8.38Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
7.07Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
-
10.49University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
14.15SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Long | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Conner Harding | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Christian Filter | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Jesse McKnight | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 8.2% |
| Colin Richards | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 10.3% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 12.6% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.