Race 9B

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Robby Gearon 6.4% 7.7% 8.5% 7.4% 6.4% 8.2% 7.1% 6.6% 7.3% 6.9% 6.3% 6.5% 5.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.1%
Malcolm Lamphere 9.3% 10.1% 9.9% 8.7% 8.1% 5.6% 8.8% 7.1% 6.9% 5.2% 6.1% 4.3% 4.6% 2.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Conner Harding 10.4% 7.2% 8.6% 7.9% 8.6% 8.0% 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 7.3% 5.3% 4.8% 3.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5%
Eli Burnes 6.8% 9.0% 8.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.1% 8.1% 6.9% 7.5% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 1.2%
Trevor Long 9.7% 10.5% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 7.8% 7.5% 7.2% 7.3% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Eduardo Mintzias 6.7% 4.8% 7.7% 7.8% 8.5% 7.3% 5.4% 7.6% 7.0% 7.4% 6.1% 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 4.2% 1.7%
Christian Filter 7.3% 7.1% 6.6% 6.9% 7.1% 6.3% 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 5.7% 7.5% 6.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.2%
Gabby Rizika 6.2% 5.9% 6.6% 5.2% 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 7.3% 6.6% 6.3% 6.8% 8.6% 7.1% 7.1% 5.0% 1.7%
Jackson McCoy 8.5% 8.3% 9.0% 8.8% 6.9% 8.3% 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 5.9% 6.0% 4.6% 4.5% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
Lucas Pierce 5.2% 6.0% 4.4% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 6.6% 7.3% 6.4% 8.3% 9.8% 6.8% 7.4% 6.5% 6.5% 2.0%
Colin Richards 3.7% 3.3% 2.1% 4.0% 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 6.2% 7.5% 8.3% 12.2% 16.5% 10.8%
Jesse McKnight 3.8% 3.8% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 6.1% 4.4% 5.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.8% 12.3% 11.2% 8.0%
Marina Barzaghi 2.3% 3.0% 3.8% 4.3% 3.6% 4.7% 5.3% 4.0% 5.6% 5.4% 8.1% 7.0% 9.0% 11.0% 14.2% 8.7%
Pierre Thibodeau 4.1% 4.2% 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 5.6% 5.4% 5.8% 6.9% 7.0% 8.4% 10.2% 8.7% 9.3% 5.2%
Duncan Williford 9.1% 7.8% 7.4% 8.2% 8.1% 8.1% 7.0% 7.8% 6.8% 6.4% 6.3% 6.8% 5.2% 2.3% 2.4% 0.3%
Nicholas Manfredi 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 4.9% 6.9% 14.7% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.