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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+9.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.50vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59+9.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+3.02vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+3.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+0.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68+1.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-0.41vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.98vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.99vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-4.83vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.93-0.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+0.75vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.77-2.67vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.87-3.81vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.04vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-7.14vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.43-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.16Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.58University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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7.02Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.46Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.31Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.19Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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14.96SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 10.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Erik Weis | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Emily Haig | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Julia Downey | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 23.6% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Josep Costa | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 36.5% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.