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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+9.18vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+5.25vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59+9.53vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.43+4.86vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.02vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87+5.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+2.70vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54+0.43vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.99vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.84-2.46vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-3.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-5.18vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.13-7.93vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-3.40vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.93-4.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-2.95vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.18Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.25Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.53University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.21Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.43Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.05Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.05University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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14.72SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Josep Costa | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Julia Downey | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 25.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.