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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+6.95vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+4.43vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+6.28vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+7.13vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+4.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.20+3.98vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68+0.94vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-2.24vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-3.10vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.91-2.67vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-3.51vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.93-0.69vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-4.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-0.42vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-2.73vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-6.27vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.77-5.20vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.13Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.31Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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13.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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12.27University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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14.77SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Weis | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Josep Costa | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Haig | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Julia Downey | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.