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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+5.47vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+5.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+5.87vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+3.44vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+1.34vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+5.81vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.43-0.04vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-1.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.18vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.91-4.59vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.87-1.89vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-4.27vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-2.71vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.77-4.24vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-5.89vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.16Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.44Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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12.29University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.11Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.79SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Emily Haig | 11.8% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Downey | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 18.5% | 24.1% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Walter Gnann | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Josep Costa | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.