← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.13+4.92vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.91+4.78vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.20+2.82vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.68+3.80vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.54+3.06vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.84+1.25vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.42vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.75-0.68vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+4.40vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-0.86vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.20-1.35vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.43-3.37vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.87-2.13vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-4.28vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.77-3.89vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.74vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida1.59-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.92Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.78Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
5.82Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.8Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.06Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.25Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
7.32Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
-
13.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
-
9.65Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
-
8.63Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
10.87Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
9.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
-
11.11University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
14.26SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
-
11.71University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Julia Downey | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 25.5% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Josep Costa | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 38.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.