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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+7.95vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+7.65vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16+5.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+1.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+3.28vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.89-1.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.37vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.64-1.36vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-2.41vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-2.21vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.06-6.00vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.45vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.45-9.60vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.69-4.18vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Cornell University1.794.7%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.683.6%1st Place
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8.16University of Pennsylvania2.166.3%1st Place
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5.48Yale University2.8512.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University2.095.9%1st Place
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4.65Stanford University2.8916.7%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy2.578.4%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.7%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.6%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.072.7%1st Place
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9.64University of Michigan1.643.5%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University1.594.9%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University1.443.5%1st Place
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8.0Tulane University2.066.2%1st Place
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13.55SUNY Maritime College0.501.6%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University2.4510.5%1st Place
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12.82Fordham University0.691.8%1st Place
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15.25University of California at Los Angeles-0.030.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Reade Decker | 16.7% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Zander King | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| Robby Meek | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Owen | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% |
| David Spector | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.