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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+4.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+3.71vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.91+3.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.71vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+3.07vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87+4.95vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20+2.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84-1.06vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-1.43vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-2.45vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-1.30vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.43-3.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-3.60vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-2.13vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-3.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-2.71vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.71Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.07Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.95Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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14.22SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Josep Costa | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Erik Weis | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Preston Duclos | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% |
| Julia Downey | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 23.6% |
| James Gilmore III | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.