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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+5.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+5.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+6.26vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+3.79vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.68vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.43+2.82vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.91-0.15vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54+0.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.20-0.59vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.77+0.24vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.59-0.31vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-3.27vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.24vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.87-4.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-2.70vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.13-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.68Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.69University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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14.24SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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10.77Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Erik Weis | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Emily Haig | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| James Gilmore III | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 40.6% |
| Josep Costa | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.0% |
| Julia Downey | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 23.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.