← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan-1.20+3.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Chicago-0.31+0.88vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-1.25+1.14vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.68-0.61vs Predicted
-
5University of Toledo-1.22-0.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame0.23-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.14University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
-
2.88University of Chicago-0.310.2%1st Place
-
4.14Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
-
3.39Northwestern University-0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.24University of Toledo-1.220.1%1st Place
-
2.22University of Notre Dame0.230.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Doyle | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 27.4% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 23.1% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| Luke LeCoche | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 23.4% | 26.7% |
| Kelly Logacho | 14.3% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 10.7% |
| Kristen Ruta | 8.1% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 29.6% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 37.1% | 27.0% | 19.2% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.