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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.31+1.91vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.68+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-1.22+1.12vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.25+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.20-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.23-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91University of Chicago-0.310.2%1st Place
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3.34Northwestern University-0.680.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Toledo-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.17Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.22University of Notre Dame0.230.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Owens | 19.9% | 24.8% | 22.5% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
| Kelly Logacho | 17.0% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 11.5% |
| Kristen Ruta | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 25.8% |
| Luke LeCoche | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 26.9% |
| Kyle Doyle | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 29.3% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 37.6% | 25.4% | 20.2% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.