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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.68+2.07vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.25+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.31-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.20-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.83-1.06vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.23-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Northwestern University-0.680.2%1st Place
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3.97Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Chicago-0.310.3%1st Place
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3.99University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Toledo-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Notre Dame-1.830.1%1st Place
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5.45Hillsdale College-2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Logacho | 23.6% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Luke LeCoche | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 8.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 31.0% | 26.6% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Doyle | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 8.7% |
| Kristen Ruta | 10.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 9.5% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 25.3% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.