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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.79+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.04+1.36vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.36+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.28-2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.51-0.88vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.18-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Chicago-0.790.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Notre Dame-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.76Northwestern University-1.360.1%1st Place
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1.8University of Michigan0.280.5%1st Place
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4.12University of Toledo-1.510.1%1st Place
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4.87Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay Hodge | 15.8% | 22.5% | 23.0% | 20.4% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| James Kennedy | 12.9% | 19.4% | 22.3% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 9.0% |
| Jonathan Atler | 10.7% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 23.1% | 13.7% |
| Sarah Youtt | 50.5% | 28.6% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 7.1% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 22.4% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 3.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.