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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-1.51+2.00vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.36+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.79-0.96vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.18-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.04-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86University of Michigan0.280.5%1st Place
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4.0University of Toledo-1.510.1%1st Place
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3.79Northwestern University-1.360.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Chicago-0.790.2%1st Place
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4.92Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Notre Dame-1.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Youtt | 49.2% | 27.6% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 7.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 25.1% | 20.5% |
| Jonathan Atler | 10.3% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 15.1% |
| Bay Hodge | 17.3% | 20.8% | 24.0% | 21.1% | 12.4% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 2.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 51.6% |
| James Kennedy | 12.7% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.