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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+3.56vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+7.08vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.45+3.46vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+1.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+3.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+3.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+4.70vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.64+1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-1.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+2.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.57-4.25vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.50+1.70vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.06-4.97vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.79-5.00vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-5.24vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.44-5.21vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.69-4.05vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Stanford University2.8916.4%1st Place
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9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.4%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University2.459.4%1st Place
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5.43Yale University2.8513.5%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University2.096.6%1st Place
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9.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.684.4%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.072.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Michigan1.645.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Pennsylvania2.166.5%1st Place
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12.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.8%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy2.579.2%1st Place
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13.7SUNY Maritime College0.501.3%1st Place
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8.03Tulane University2.065.5%1st Place
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9.0Cornell University1.794.6%1st Place
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9.76Old Dominion University1.593.8%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University1.443.1%1st Place
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12.95Fordham University0.691.6%1st Place
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15.08University of California at Los Angeles-0.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Robby Meek | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 5.7% |
| Braden Vogel | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 10.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| Zander King | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| James Owen | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 13.6% |
| David Spector | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.