← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.40+0.50vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute-0.12+0.82vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-0.68+0.39vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.17vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-1.88-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.5Fordham University1.400.6%1st Place
-
2.82Webb Institute-0.120.1%1st Place
-
3.39Drexel University-0.680.1%1st Place
-
2.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
-
4.46Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamonn Austin | 64.8% | 23.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| John Dixon | 12.6% | 28.9% | 28.3% | 24.1% | 6.1% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 8.0% | 15.0% | 23.9% | 36.6% | 16.5% |
| Samuel Parsons | 12.6% | 27.9% | 30.2% | 22.6% | 6.7% |
| victor lu | 2.0% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.