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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.40+0.50vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.12+0.80vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.68+0.41vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.88+0.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Fordham University1.400.7%1st Place
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2.8Webb Institute-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.41Drexel University-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.46Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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2.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamonn Austin | 65.0% | 22.8% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| John Dixon | 12.8% | 28.6% | 30.3% | 22.1% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 7.3% | 16.5% | 22.2% | 35.9% | 18.1% |
| victor lu | 1.9% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 68.7% |
| Samuel Parsons | 13.0% | 27.7% | 29.7% | 22.9% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.