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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.73vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.53+13.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.16+5.45vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.84+5.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.93+4.23vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.31+6.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19+1.46vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.33-0.68vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.25-1.28vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.86vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.13+4.76vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90+1.24vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-3.70vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.69-4.60vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.17-7.86vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.61-6.42vs Predicted
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18Washington College3.65-7.26vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.49-7.75vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont3.62-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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15.36Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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9.71Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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9.23College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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8.46Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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10.86SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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16.76University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
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14.24Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.58Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.74Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mathew Renik | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 21.3% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Leif Evensen | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Brown | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Harry Scott | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 41.4% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| David Hernandez | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| John Stokes | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Will Stocke | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.