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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.40+0.47vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.36+0.99vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.68+0.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.22vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.88-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Fordham University1.400.7%1st Place
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2.99Webb Institute-0.360.1%1st Place
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3.33Drexel University-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.42Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamonn Austin | 67.2% | 21.9% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Alec Bidwell | 9.7% | 25.3% | 30.2% | 25.6% | 9.2% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 8.1% | 17.2% | 23.9% | 35.1% | 15.7% |
| Samuel Parsons | 12.9% | 30.4% | 28.6% | 21.9% | 6.2% |
| victor lu | 2.1% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.