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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.40+0.41vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.68+1.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-0.38vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.92-0.55vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.88-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41Fordham University1.400.7%1st Place
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3.21Drexel University-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.2%1st Place
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3.45Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.31Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamonn Austin | 68.9% | 23.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 8.1% | 18.9% | 29.4% | 30.8% | 12.8% |
| Samuel Parsons | 15.6% | 33.6% | 27.7% | 19.2% | 3.9% |
| Peter Wiley | 4.9% | 17.5% | 25.9% | 31.2% | 20.5% |
| victor lu | 2.5% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.