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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.40+0.42vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.68+1.20vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.92+0.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.36vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.88-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42Fordham University1.400.7%1st Place
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3.2Drexel University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.42Webb Institute-0.920.1%1st Place
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2.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.32Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamonn Austin | 69.4% | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 8.1% | 18.6% | 32.1% | 27.6% | 13.6% |
| Peter Wiley | 6.8% | 16.1% | 24.6% | 33.1% | 19.4% |
| Samuel Parsons | 13.4% | 37.3% | 26.3% | 17.9% | 5.1% |
| victor lu | 2.3% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.