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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.47+2.49vs Predicted
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3Iowa State University-0.42+3.21vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.01+1.20vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.71-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.13-3.01vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.11-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.08-2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-0.99-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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6.21Iowa State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.75Northwestern University0.710.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Illinois1.130.3%1st Place
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5.54University of Wisconsin-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Peter Sauer | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| August Nagro | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 19.8% |
| Nathan Kane | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% |
| Mitchell Moore | 19.0% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 25.7% | 23.8% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Barnes | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.2% |
| Michael Valverde | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.