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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.01+4.30vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.71+2.01vs Predicted
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3Iowa State University-0.42+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.08-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.13-3.00vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.99+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.47-3.67vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.11-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.01Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
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6.19Iowa State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Illinois1.130.3%1st Place
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7.21University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Wisconsin-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Kane | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 8.8% |
| Mitchell Moore | 13.2% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| August Nagro | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| Michael Stone | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Michael Valverde | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.9% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 26.7% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 43.7% |
| Peter Sauer | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Jack Barnes | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.