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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.47+3.40vs Predicted
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2Iowa State University-0.42+4.42vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois1.13-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.08+0.11vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.71-2.15vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.01-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.11-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-0.43-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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6.42Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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3.85Northwestern University0.710.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Wisconsin-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Iowa-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Sauer | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| August Nagro | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 26.4% |
| Michael Stone | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 24.1% | 24.8% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Michael Valverde | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.1% |
| Mitchell Moore | 17.2% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Kane | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 10.2% |
| Jack Barnes | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.