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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+3.85vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.47+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.08+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.43+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.13-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.47-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.01-1.41vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.71-3.95vs Predicted
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9Iowa State University-0.42-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Iowa-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.16University of Illinois1.130.3%1st Place
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4.47University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.05Northwestern University0.710.2%1st Place
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6.38Iowa State University-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Peter Sauer | 8.6% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Michael Valverde | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 26.8% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 28.3% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Spencer Koscik | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Nathan Kane | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| Mitchell Moore | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| August Nagro | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.