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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.08+4.42vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.13+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+1.86vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-0.42+2.30vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.47-0.56vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.71-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.47-2.45vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.01-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-0.43-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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4.86University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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6.3Iowa State University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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4.04Northwestern University0.710.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Iowa-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Valverde | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.9% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 20.5% | 22.0% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Michael Stone | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| August Nagro | 5.2% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 26.3% |
| Spencer Koscik | 12.9% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Mitchell Moore | 16.0% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Peter Sauer | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Kane | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.