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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.57+0.81vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.53+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.30+0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.05-0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-2.03+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.57-1.44vs Predicted
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7Iowa State University-2.55+0.33vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.81-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.40-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of Minnesota1.570.5%1st Place
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3.14University of Minnesota0.530.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Iowa-2.030.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Illinois-0.570.1%1st Place
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7.33Iowa State University-2.550.0%1st Place
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7.61Northwestern University-2.810.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Michigan-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 51.3% | 27.4% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Meldman | 13.6% | 23.3% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Sazama | 13.6% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 11.8% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Geoffrey Montour | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 21.2% | 25.3% | 17.3% | 13.6% |
| Dylan Londrigan | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 27.7% | 20.4% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Casey White | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 12.5% | 22.5% | 27.2% | 26.8% |
| David Pe | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 25.2% | 38.2% |
| Richard Gagnon | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 27.6% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.