← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota1.57+0.83vs Predicted
-
2University of Illinois-0.57+2.72vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota0.53+0.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin0.30-0.78vs Predicted
-
5University of Iowa-2.03+1.50vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-2.81+1.60vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-2.40-0.87vs Predicted
-
9Iowa State University-2.55-1.70vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin0.05-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.83University of Minnesota1.570.5%1st Place
-
4.72University of Illinois-0.570.0%1st Place
-
3.02University of Minnesota0.530.2%1st Place
-
3.22University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
-
6.5University of Iowa-2.030.0%1st Place
-
7.6Northwestern University-2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.13University of Michigan-2.400.0%1st Place
-
7.3Iowa State University-2.550.0%1st Place
-
3.68University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 49.9% | 28.6% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Londrigan | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 28.1% | 19.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Meldman | 17.4% | 22.5% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Sazama | 14.7% | 20.9% | 21.8% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Montour | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 20.2% | 25.0% | 18.8% | 12.2% |
| David Pe | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 37.5% |
| Richard Gagnon | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 26.7% | 22.0% |
| Casey White | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 26.6% | 27.3% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 10.6% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.