Race 1A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sean Beaulieu 21.3% 18.4% 13.7% 13.1% 11.8% 9.9% 6.8% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Brian Baker 11.0% 10.7% 13.4% 11.6% 11.6% 14.4% 13.0% 10.8% 3.0% 0.5%
Frank Reeg 18.7% 17.9% 15.4% 16.2% 11.7% 8.8% 6.6% 3.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 4.6% 6.7% 7.0% 8.6% 11.1% 10.6% 16.0% 24.6% 9.4% 1.4%
Zachary Bresnick 12.6% 12.9% 13.1% 12.8% 12.5% 14.0% 11.8% 7.8% 2.3% 0.2%
Allison Cahn 14.7% 11.4% 12.6% 12.7% 12.8% 13.8% 11.3% 8.7% 1.7% 0.3%
Ben Brown 7.8% 10.7% 11.3% 12.2% 13.7% 12.2% 14.1% 14.6% 3.2% 0.2%
William Tagliamonte 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 3.2% 22.6% 69.0%
Isabel Rombult 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 4.0% 7.2% 52.3% 28.0%
Charlotte Lenz 8.2% 10.2% 11.4% 10.7% 12.5% 13.3% 14.4% 15.0% 4.0% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.