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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.61vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+2.49vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.52+2.10vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+0.47vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52-0.02vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.69-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+1.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.48vs Predicted
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9Bentley University1.03-3.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.76-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.49Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.1Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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4.47Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.61Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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3.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.2%1st Place
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5.97Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 19.4% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 12.3% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ben Brown | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Brian Baker | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Isabel Rombult | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 8.5% | 53.8% | 26.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 19.7% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 24.3% | 10.1% | 1.2% |
| William Tagliamonte | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 20.9% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.