Race 3A

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Frank Reeg 21.3% 17.8% 15.5% 13.0% 12.2% 8.0% 7.2% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 11.5% 11.9% 14.8% 12.1% 12.4% 13.3% 12.8% 9.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Sean Beaulieu 18.5% 18.6% 12.8% 16.0% 12.4% 10.6% 6.7% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Zachary Bresnick 11.1% 13.4% 13.6% 13.4% 14.0% 12.8% 10.7% 8.5% 2.3% 0.2%
Ben Brown 10.1% 10.0% 9.9% 10.6% 12.8% 15.0% 13.5% 13.2% 4.5% 0.4%
Brian Baker 13.2% 9.6% 12.6% 13.2% 12.3% 12.7% 11.9% 11.1% 3.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 4.4% 6.0% 8.5% 8.3% 9.9% 11.2% 16.7% 24.7% 9.3% 1.0%
Charlotte Lenz 8.8% 11.1% 10.6% 11.7% 12.5% 12.4% 15.2% 13.3% 3.9% 0.5%
Isabel Rombult 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 2.7% 3.3% 8.6% 51.7% 27.8%
William Tagliamonte 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 1.3% 2.0% 3.6% 21.6% 69.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.