Race 4A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ben Brown 10.7% 8.8% 12.0% 11.0% 11.8% 12.9% 14.4% 14.2% 3.8% 0.4%
Sean Beaulieu 19.4% 16.1% 16.9% 13.8% 11.9% 10.4% 6.0% 4.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 12.5% 12.1% 10.9% 11.6% 14.8% 14.4% 11.8% 9.5% 2.3% 0.1%
Brian Baker 10.5% 12.3% 13.1% 11.8% 12.9% 14.3% 11.1% 11.4% 2.4% 0.2%
Frank Reeg 18.9% 17.9% 17.2% 15.1% 11.2% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Zachary Bresnick 14.6% 12.1% 10.3% 15.3% 13.0% 12.1% 10.4% 9.7% 2.5% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 7.4% 11.9% 10.3% 11.2% 12.8% 13.8% 16.1% 12.9% 3.3% 0.3%
Nicholas Memoli 5.0% 7.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.8% 10.5% 18.1% 23.4% 9.8% 0.9%
Isabel Rombult 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.5% 7.1% 52.1% 28.5%
William Tagliamonte 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 22.4% 69.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.