Race 5A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Frank Reeg 22.1% 17.4% 13.9% 12.6% 11.6% 9.4% 6.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.5%
Sean Beaulieu 18.8% 16.0% 16.2% 14.1% 11.8% 8.8% 8.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Allison Cahn 11.8% 11.7% 11.5% 11.0% 14.6% 13.2% 11.1% 10.2% 4.4% 0.5%
Ben Brown 8.5% 9.0% 11.8% 11.8% 12.0% 13.5% 13.3% 13.8% 5.3% 1.0%
Zachary Bresnick 12.3% 11.9% 13.5% 14.2% 11.9% 12.1% 11.2% 7.4% 4.5% 1.0%
Nicholas Memoli 6.7% 6.1% 7.1% 7.2% 8.8% 11.0% 13.7% 18.8% 16.6% 4.0%
Brian Baker 8.7% 13.0% 11.6% 13.6% 13.7% 12.3% 11.9% 9.7% 4.6% 0.9%
Charlotte Lenz 8.8% 11.4% 10.4% 10.7% 11.1% 12.6% 13.6% 12.9% 7.0% 1.5%
Isabel Rombult 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 5.3% 18.7% 64.4%
Auguste Pizzano 1.5% 2.3% 3.2% 3.1% 2.8% 5.0% 7.2% 12.7% 36.1% 26.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.