Race 1B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caleb Niles 20.9% 18.1% 18.6% 16.5% 14.1% 7.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 11.9% 14.2% 16.3% 16.5% 18.6% 15.5% 6.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Honke 23.2% 21.4% 19.0% 17.5% 11.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 26.2% 24.4% 19.1% 15.1% 8.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Boucher 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 4.1% 6.5% 18.8% 27.1% 23.7% 13.8%
Shannon McKeown 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.3% 6.8% 21.1% 28.4% 20.8% 12.6%
Allison DeLuca 6.2% 7.1% 10.4% 12.1% 18.3% 25.0% 14.7% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Matthew Galbraith 8.4% 11.0% 11.6% 16.3% 17.7% 21.8% 9.0% 3.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Nick Jaczko 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% 3.5% 12.5% 18.9% 31.1% 28.6%
Nicole Owens 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 1.4% 3.2% 11.2% 14.4% 23.3% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.