Race 2B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Honke 24.2% 23.2% 18.6% 15.2% 9.5% 7.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 12.2% 12.6% 17.9% 16.2% 18.9% 15.4% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 26.0% 22.1% 19.8% 15.5% 10.3% 5.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 17.7% 19.5% 20.6% 17.9% 13.9% 7.4% 2.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Allison DeLuca 7.6% 9.6% 7.4% 13.1% 17.8% 26.2% 12.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Matthew Galbraith 9.4% 10.5% 11.5% 16.0% 20.7% 19.7% 9.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Shannon McKeown 1.1% 0.6% 1.1% 2.0% 3.0% 5.4% 24.8% 27.0% 22.1% 12.9%
Nicole Owens 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 3.3% 9.1% 17.4% 24.4% 41.9%
Kyle Boucher 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 6.1% 20.8% 27.1% 24.4% 13.3%
Nick Jaczko 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 4.3% 12.9% 19.7% 26.9% 31.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.