Race 3B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jennifer Killian 14.2% 14.3% 16.3% 15.6% 16.7% 15.3% 5.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Charles Honke 23.5% 22.0% 17.2% 17.8% 12.0% 5.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 26.4% 22.7% 18.1% 16.3% 10.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 18.3% 18.6% 21.2% 17.4% 13.1% 8.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Allison DeLuca 8.0% 8.2% 9.1% 12.3% 16.1% 27.3% 13.4% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Kyle Boucher 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 3.3% 6.5% 21.0% 26.5% 22.2% 14.3%
Matthew Galbraith 6.6% 11.4% 13.0% 15.0% 20.5% 20.1% 10.2% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Nicole Owens 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% 2.0% 2.9% 10.3% 17.0% 24.7% 41.1%
Shannon McKeown 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.4% 3.4% 6.4% 21.9% 27.8% 23.0% 12.3%
Nick Jaczko 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 2.2% 3.8% 12.1% 18.6% 28.1% 32.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.