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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.84+7.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+10.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.85+2.25vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.89+0.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.45+1.16vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.64+1.28vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59+0.30vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.54+0.64vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.09-3.34vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.61+0.86vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.16-5.25vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.27+1.44vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-5.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-1.01vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.44-6.31vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Tulane University1.846.5%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.9%1st Place
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5.25Yale University2.8513.2%1st Place
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4.4Stanford University2.8917.3%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University2.459.7%1st Place
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8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.1%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy2.578.4%1st Place
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9.28University of Michigan1.644.0%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University1.594.9%1st Place
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10.64Fordham University1.542.6%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.097.0%1st Place
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12.86Cornell University0.611.7%1st Place
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7.75University of Pennsylvania2.166.9%1st Place
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15.44SUNY Maritime College-0.270.4%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.685.2%1st Place
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14.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.030.8%1st Place
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10.69George Washington University1.442.6%1st Place
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12.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.781.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 17.3% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maya Conway | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 41.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| David Spector | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 22.1% | 30.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Joey Richardson | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.